Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 9:10 AM, 52 voters in 14 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 102,386 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 72,949 - 173,261). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 9:10 AM | 1481 |
c(2.5% = 1133)
|
c(97.5% = 2754)
|
| 02 | 9:10 AM | 2461 |
c(2.5% = 1868)
|
c(97.5% = 4517)
|
| 03 | 9:10 AM | 1367 |
c(2.5% = 979)
|
c(97.5% = 2146)
|
| 04 | 9:10 AM | 1342 |
c(2.5% = 919)
|
c(97.5% = 2317)
|
| 05 | 9:10 AM | 3285 |
c(2.5% = 2576)
|
c(97.5% = 5935)
|
| 06 | 9:10 AM | 921 |
c(2.5% = 617)
|
c(97.5% = 1460)
|
| 07 | 9:10 AM | 673 |
c(2.5% = 317)
|
c(97.5% = 3059)
|
| 08 | 9:10 AM | 3414 |
c(2.5% = 2568)
|
c(97.5% = 6187)
|
| 09 | 9:10 AM | 1819 |
c(2.5% = 1373)
|
c(97.5% = 3537)
|
| 10 | 9:10 AM | 2050 |
c(2.5% = 1393)
|
c(97.5% = 3109)
|
| 11 | 9:10 AM | 863 |
c(2.5% = 585)
|
c(97.5% = 1573)
|
| 12 | 9:10 AM | 1492 |
c(2.5% = 1034)
|
c(97.5% = 2335)
|
| 13 | 9:10 AM | 1346 |
c(2.5% = 928)
|
c(97.5% = 2224)
|
| 14 | 9:10 AM | 588 |
c(2.5% = 387)
|
c(97.5% = 916)
|
| 15 | 9:10 AM | 1803 |
c(2.5% = 1397)
|
c(97.5% = 3357)
|
| 16 | 9:10 AM | 700 |
c(2.5% = 463)
|
c(97.5% = 1448)
|
| 17 | 9:10 AM | 1667 |
c(2.5% = 1169)
|
c(97.5% = 2660)
|
| 18 | 9:10 AM | 1319 |
c(2.5% = 933)
|
c(97.5% = 2095)
|
| 19 | 9:10 AM | 578 |
c(2.5% = 335)
|
c(97.5% = 1915)
|
| 20 | 9:10 AM | 568 |
c(2.5% = 360)
|
c(97.5% = 1303)
|
| 21 | 9:10 AM | 3727 |
c(2.5% = 2587)
|
c(97.5% = 5771)
|
| 22 | 9:10 AM | 2335 |
c(2.5% = 1820)
|
c(97.5% = 3920)
|
| 23 | 9:10 AM | 1147 |
c(2.5% = 780)
|
c(97.5% = 2179)
|
| 24 | 9:10 AM | 945 |
c(2.5% = 627)
|
c(97.5% = 1514)
|
| 25 | 9:10 AM | 915 |
c(2.5% = 627)
|
c(97.5% = 1938)
|
| 26 | 9:10 AM | 1396 |
c(2.5% = 1010)
|
c(97.5% = 2445)
|
| 27 | 9:10 AM | 1381 |
c(2.5% = 800)
|
c(97.5% = 2101)
|
| 28 | 9:10 AM | 753 |
c(2.5% = 498)
|
c(97.5% = 1534)
|
| 29 | 9:10 AM | 779 |
c(2.5% = 551)
|
c(97.5% = 1249)
|
| 30 | 9:10 AM | 1592 |
c(2.5% = 1237)
|
c(97.5% = 2614)
|
| 31 | 9:10 AM | 1225 |
c(2.5% = 926)
|
c(97.5% = 2157)
|
| 32 | 9:10 AM | 1196 |
c(2.5% = 780)
|
c(97.5% = 2395)
|
| 33 | 9:10 AM | 812 |
c(2.5% = 436)
|
c(97.5% = 2884)
|
| 34 | 9:10 AM | 2855 |
c(2.5% = 1931)
|
c(97.5% = 4390)
|
| 35 | 9:10 AM | 1671 |
c(2.5% = 1110)
|
c(97.5% = 3284)
|
| 36 | 9:10 AM | 2215 |
c(2.5% = 1455)
|
c(97.5% = 3413)
|
| 37 | 9:10 AM | 769 |
c(2.5% = 498)
|
c(97.5% = 1702)
|
| 38 | 9:10 AM | 1416 |
c(2.5% = 979)
|
c(97.5% = 2380)
|
| 39 | 9:10 AM | 2860 |
c(2.5% = 2050)
|
c(97.5% = 4620)
|
| 40 | 9:10 AM | 2672 |
c(2.5% = 1754)
|
c(97.5% = 4345)
|
| 41 | 9:10 AM | 1065 |
c(2.5% = 682)
|
c(97.5% = 2330)
|
| 42 | 9:10 AM | 1239 |
c(2.5% = 753)
|
c(97.5% = 2899)
|
| 43 | 9:10 AM | 955 |
c(2.5% = 561)
|
c(97.5% = 2738)
|
| 44 | 9:10 AM | 900 |
c(2.5% = 617)
|
c(97.5% = 1555)
|
| 45 | 9:10 AM | 1185 |
c(2.5% = 822)
|
c(97.5% = 2386)
|
| 46 | 9:10 AM | 1848 |
c(2.5% = 1403)
|
c(97.5% = 2979)
|
| 47 | 9:10 AM | 501 |
c(2.5% = 326)
|
c(97.5% = 862)
|
| 48 | 9:10 AM | 1200 |
c(2.5% = 802)
|
c(97.5% = 1908)
|
| 49 | 9:10 AM | 1587 |
c(2.5% = 1064)
|
c(97.5% = 2691)
|
| 50 | 9:10 AM | 2522 |
c(2.5% = 1822)
|
c(97.5% = 4440)
|
| 51 | 9:10 AM | 1471 |
c(2.5% = 1014)
|
c(97.5% = 2403)
|
| 52 | 9:10 AM | 1974 |
c(2.5% = 1401)
|
c(97.5% = 3260)
|
| 53 | 9:10 AM | 1172 |
c(2.5% = 796)
|
c(97.5% = 2402)
|
| 54 | 9:10 AM | 793 |
c(2.5% = 494)
|
c(97.5% = 2091)
|
| 55 | 9:10 AM | 1431 |
c(2.5% = 906)
|
c(97.5% = 3054)
|
| 56 | 9:10 AM | 2129 |
c(2.5% = 1445)
|
c(97.5% = 4322)
|
| 57 | 9:10 AM | 1792 |
c(2.5% = 1255)
|
c(97.5% = 3437)
|
| 58 | 9:10 AM | 2985 |
c(2.5% = 2081)
|
c(97.5% = 5774)
|
| 59 | 9:10 AM | 1608 |
c(2.5% = 1102)
|
c(97.5% = 2432)
|
| 60 | 9:10 AM | 1295 |
c(2.5% = 913)
|
c(97.5% = 1979)
|
| 61 | 9:10 AM | 1781 |
c(2.5% = 1147)
|
c(97.5% = 2925)
|
| 62 | 9:10 AM | 1239 |
c(2.5% = 807)
|
c(97.5% = 2949)
|
| 63 | 9:10 AM | 1827 |
c(2.5% = 1295)
|
c(97.5% = 3617)
|
| 64 | 9:10 AM | 991 |
c(2.5% = 669)
|
c(97.5% = 1923)
|
| 65 | 9:10 AM | 1467 |
c(2.5% = 1022)
|
c(97.5% = 2931)
|
| 66 | 9:10 AM | 3027 |
c(2.5% = 2155)
|
c(97.5% = 5587)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions