Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 9:10 AM, 52 voters in 14 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 102,386 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 72,949 - 173,261). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 9:10 AM 1481 c(2.5% = 1133) c(97.5% = 2754)
02 9:10 AM 2461 c(2.5% = 1868) c(97.5% = 4517)
03 9:10 AM 1367 c(2.5% = 979) c(97.5% = 2146)
04 9:10 AM 1342 c(2.5% = 919) c(97.5% = 2317)
05 9:10 AM 3285 c(2.5% = 2576) c(97.5% = 5935)
06 9:10 AM 921 c(2.5% = 617) c(97.5% = 1460)
07 9:10 AM 673 c(2.5% = 317) c(97.5% = 3059)
08 9:10 AM 3414 c(2.5% = 2568) c(97.5% = 6187)
09 9:10 AM 1819 c(2.5% = 1373) c(97.5% = 3537)
10 9:10 AM 2050 c(2.5% = 1393) c(97.5% = 3109)
11 9:10 AM 863 c(2.5% = 585) c(97.5% = 1573)
12 9:10 AM 1492 c(2.5% = 1034) c(97.5% = 2335)
13 9:10 AM 1346 c(2.5% = 928) c(97.5% = 2224)
14 9:10 AM 588 c(2.5% = 387) c(97.5% = 916)
15 9:10 AM 1803 c(2.5% = 1397) c(97.5% = 3357)
16 9:10 AM 700 c(2.5% = 463) c(97.5% = 1448)
17 9:10 AM 1667 c(2.5% = 1169) c(97.5% = 2660)
18 9:10 AM 1319 c(2.5% = 933) c(97.5% = 2095)
19 9:10 AM 578 c(2.5% = 335) c(97.5% = 1915)
20 9:10 AM 568 c(2.5% = 360) c(97.5% = 1303)
21 9:10 AM 3727 c(2.5% = 2587) c(97.5% = 5771)
22 9:10 AM 2335 c(2.5% = 1820) c(97.5% = 3920)
23 9:10 AM 1147 c(2.5% = 780) c(97.5% = 2179)
24 9:10 AM 945 c(2.5% = 627) c(97.5% = 1514)
25 9:10 AM 915 c(2.5% = 627) c(97.5% = 1938)
26 9:10 AM 1396 c(2.5% = 1010) c(97.5% = 2445)
27 9:10 AM 1381 c(2.5% = 800) c(97.5% = 2101)
28 9:10 AM 753 c(2.5% = 498) c(97.5% = 1534)
29 9:10 AM 779 c(2.5% = 551) c(97.5% = 1249)
30 9:10 AM 1592 c(2.5% = 1237) c(97.5% = 2614)
31 9:10 AM 1225 c(2.5% = 926) c(97.5% = 2157)
32 9:10 AM 1196 c(2.5% = 780) c(97.5% = 2395)
33 9:10 AM 812 c(2.5% = 436) c(97.5% = 2884)
34 9:10 AM 2855 c(2.5% = 1931) c(97.5% = 4390)
35 9:10 AM 1671 c(2.5% = 1110) c(97.5% = 3284)
36 9:10 AM 2215 c(2.5% = 1455) c(97.5% = 3413)
37 9:10 AM 769 c(2.5% = 498) c(97.5% = 1702)
38 9:10 AM 1416 c(2.5% = 979) c(97.5% = 2380)
39 9:10 AM 2860 c(2.5% = 2050) c(97.5% = 4620)
40 9:10 AM 2672 c(2.5% = 1754) c(97.5% = 4345)
41 9:10 AM 1065 c(2.5% = 682) c(97.5% = 2330)
42 9:10 AM 1239 c(2.5% = 753) c(97.5% = 2899)
43 9:10 AM 955 c(2.5% = 561) c(97.5% = 2738)
44 9:10 AM 900 c(2.5% = 617) c(97.5% = 1555)
45 9:10 AM 1185 c(2.5% = 822) c(97.5% = 2386)
46 9:10 AM 1848 c(2.5% = 1403) c(97.5% = 2979)
47 9:10 AM 501 c(2.5% = 326) c(97.5% = 862)
48 9:10 AM 1200 c(2.5% = 802) c(97.5% = 1908)
49 9:10 AM 1587 c(2.5% = 1064) c(97.5% = 2691)
50 9:10 AM 2522 c(2.5% = 1822) c(97.5% = 4440)
51 9:10 AM 1471 c(2.5% = 1014) c(97.5% = 2403)
52 9:10 AM 1974 c(2.5% = 1401) c(97.5% = 3260)
53 9:10 AM 1172 c(2.5% = 796) c(97.5% = 2402)
54 9:10 AM 793 c(2.5% = 494) c(97.5% = 2091)
55 9:10 AM 1431 c(2.5% = 906) c(97.5% = 3054)
56 9:10 AM 2129 c(2.5% = 1445) c(97.5% = 4322)
57 9:10 AM 1792 c(2.5% = 1255) c(97.5% = 3437)
58 9:10 AM 2985 c(2.5% = 2081) c(97.5% = 5774)
59 9:10 AM 1608 c(2.5% = 1102) c(97.5% = 2432)
60 9:10 AM 1295 c(2.5% = 913) c(97.5% = 1979)
61 9:10 AM 1781 c(2.5% = 1147) c(97.5% = 2925)
62 9:10 AM 1239 c(2.5% = 807) c(97.5% = 2949)
63 9:10 AM 1827 c(2.5% = 1295) c(97.5% = 3617)
64 9:10 AM 991 c(2.5% = 669) c(97.5% = 1923)
65 9:10 AM 1467 c(2.5% = 1022) c(97.5% = 2931)
66 9:10 AM 3027 c(2.5% = 2155) c(97.5% = 5587)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions